Given the Rays’ surge go into the playoff picture, Red Sox lefty Jon Lester has assumed control over
Given the Rays’ surge go into the playoff picture, Red Sox lefty Jon Lester has assumed control over the exchange market’s core stage from David Price. A key part of Boston’s 2007 and 2013 title run, the 30-year-old southpaw is a pending free executor, and the Sox (48-58, 1.0 percent playoff chances) are dead and covered in both the division and Wild Card races. With the two sides far separated in contract growth talks, the inquiry regarding whether the Red Sox will bargain Lester — and assuming this is the case, what they can receive in exchange for a two-month rental — poses a potential threat.
While whatever remains of Boston’s revolution aside from John Lackey has disintegrated around him, Lester has been at the highest point of his amusement this season. Regardless of lousy backing from the resistance behind him by means of a .312 batting normal on balls in play, his 6.8 innings for every begin, 76-percent quality begin rate, 4.7 strikeout-to-walk proportion, 2.62 FIP, 2.52 ERA and 155 Era+ are all vocation bests, and his strikeout rate — 9.4 for every nine or 25.7 percent of all hitters confronted — is close to his high. His execution has made clear that his horrid 2012 (4.82 ERA, 0.7 Wins Above Replacement) was a deviation, and he’s really outpitched Price as far as run avoidance (2.96 FIP, 3.08 ERA, 122 Era+) and quality (3.0 WAR to 2.7).
Keeping the homegrown Lester — who has set up a 3.64 ERA and 120 Era+ through his nine seasons — would appear to be an easy decision given his execution and ubiquity, however the Red Sox haven’t been eager to offer him a development in accordance with the going rate. They allegedly offered him a four-year, $70 million arrangement amid the past offseason, keeping in mind they’re said to have expanded that to some degree, they presumably need to get to no less than five years and $100 million to have a chance, regardless of the fact that Lester is ready to take a main residence markdown.
The two sides have severed talks until after the season, keeping in mind Lester has said he’s ready to return through free organization in the event that he’s exchanged, managing him would mean the Sox lose their selective arrangement period with him (the initial five days after the World Series) and the right to make him a qualifying offer. The passing of a compensatory draft pick wouldn’t matter to the Sox given the potential pull in prospects, however under such circumstances, different suitors wouldn’t need to surrender their first-adjust pick either, likely increasing his business sector.
What takes after here is a speedy take a gander at eight potential purchasers joined with him as of late, and what Boston’s top exchange focuses inside those associations may be, given that they’re allegedly request one world class prospect and no less than one lesser one; note that I’m giving a thumbnail sketch, not attempting to specialty the ideal arrangement. The groups are recorded one after another in order.
Having effectively exchanged their main two prospects in the Jeff Samardzija/Jason Hammel blockbuster, the A’s wouldn’t seem to have enough to procure Lester, however that didn’t prevent them from connecting. Oakland’s top remaining prospect is 2012 supplemental first-adjust pick Daniel Robertston, a 20-year-old shortstop who’s as of now batting .296/.398/.465 at High-A, however he’s said to be untouchable, and third baseman Renato Nunez (a 20-year old hitting .284/.345/.553 with 25 homers at High-A) presumably has less engage an association with such an overabundance of hot corner hopefuls as Boston. Club-controlled lefty Drew Pomeranz, the fifth pick of the 2010 draft and a player who won’t be qualified for mediation until after the 2016 season, could figure in such an arrangement, yet Oakland must be viewed as longshots in this race.
As indicated by CSNNE’s Sean Mcadam, the Jays have been the most forceful of the most recent wave of groups in quest for Lester. That would appear to clue that a force arm, for example, Marcus Stroman or Aaron Sanchez — both as of now pitching for Toronto, the previous in the revolution, the recent out of the warm up area — could feature the arrangement. Stroman has set up a 3.21 ERA while striking out 7.9 for every nine hitherto, however its dubious the Jays would surrender him, given that he’s a key figure in their fighting offer. Sanchez, who outranked him on Baseball America’s preseason rundown (32nd versus 55th) before engaging control issues in the not so distant future, may be simpler to part with.
A couple of 21-year-olds who have part their seasons between High-An and Double-A, lefty Daniel Norris and centerfielder Dalton Pompey, could likewise consider along with the mix. Norris, 25th on BA’s Midseason Top 50 Prospects rundown, has three or more pitches and has whiffed 11.0 for every nine not long from now, while Pompey, 47th on that rundown, has hit .310/.390/.465 with 35 takes.
The Braves have indicated noteworthy enthusiasm toward lefty reliever Andrew Miller, yet through Mcadam, they’re said to have asked in regards to Lester too. With no prospect in the BA or Baseball Prospectus midseason main 50 rundowns, they might not have a first class prospect who would trigger an arrangement. Jose Pereza positioned 39th on the midseason arrangement of ESPN’s Keith Law; he’s a 22-year-old center infielder who has hit .349/.375/.455 part between High-An and Double-A. Moved from shortstop to a respectable halfway point this season in light of the fact that he was obstructed by Andrelton Simmons, he’s an exceptional shield who would figure to move once more to short with Dustin Pedroia in front of him at second. Righty Lucas Sims, a 20-year-old who put 40th on the preseason arrangements of ESPN and BP, is seen as a future No. 2 starter, however his strikeout rate has dove with a move to High-A.
Milwaukee’s ranch framework isn’t solid, however as indicated by CBS Sports’ Jon Heyman, general director Doug Melvin hasn’t been hesitant to get some information about Price or Lester. An exchange for either would more likely than not revolve around 6-foot-6 righty Jimmy Nelson, a 2010 second-adjust pick who posted a 1.46 ERA and 9.2 strikeouts for every nine at Triple-A Nashville before being reviewed by the Brewers; he’s got a 4.30 ERA and 22 strikeouts in 23 innings in excess of four begin